Solar’s Place in the US Energy Balance is Uncertain

I subscribe to a variety of publications, some quite pricey including an investment newsletter that monitors the global energy sector, called Oil & Energy Investor by former CIA analyst Dr. Kent Moors.

While I will not be passing on stock tips, I find his insights into the global energy picture to be illuminating.  And a good way to monitor the practical implications of policy decisions.

He is an advocate for a balance of energy sources, and more recently has stressed the need for what he calls, “interchangeable energy resources.” We will explore that topic more in the future.

But today, I wish to focus on his current observations about solar.

He points out that nobody associated with the incoming administration has said anything negative about solar.

He points out that solar has made significant gains in the past number of years and has reached what he calls, “Grid Parity.” Meaning that the solar is now on an even footing with most other energy sources when it comes to production and distribution costs. He notes that most of that progress has occurred in the private sector without governmental subsidies.

That said, where subsidies do exist has been on the local level, by state and federal tax credits designed to stimulate installation of solar on homes and businesses. The end users.

These subsidies have been largely motivated by the desire to lessen the adverse effects of climate change. And that is clearly an item taht appears to be on the Trump admins chopping block.

When compounded by congressional budget cutters eager to eliminate subsidies to ordinary people, a new set of challenges occur.

While it seems as though the new admin is more than willing to cut taxes and loosen regulations on the fossil fuel industry, they are less willing to share the wealth with individual homeowners and businesses seeking to do the right thing by the climate.

Saudi Arabia Solar Power Installation
Saudi Arabia Solar Power Installation

The strange thing about all this, as Dr Moors points out, is that the largest oil producers, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have developed some of the world’s largest solar generating complexes. They are diversifying their energy resources, recognizing their long term sustainability.

While renewable may have an immediate challenge in the next few years, their ultimate role seems to be inevitable.

As such we can and should be doing everything we can to assert the role of solar as part of an interconnected multi faceted energy strategy.

A  strategy that also offers the promise of genuine NEW job creation in both the manufacturing and construction sectors throughout the entire United States and not just energy rich communities.

And such a strategy would certainly be a viable asset to a long term policy of true energy self sufficiency for the nation.

president_ttrrump

Cartoon via: http://theweek.com/?utm_campaign=newsletter&utm_source=cartoon&utm_medium=11_17_16-tw_banner

What Will Trump Mean to Climate Change Agreement – John Kerry Speaks

John Kerry warns of climate threat at talks overshadowed by Trump – video | US news | The Guardian

theguardian.com

US secretary of state John Kerry urges countries to treat the earth’s changing climate as an urgent threat as he addresses the uncertainty created by the election of Donald Trump. ‘Obviously an election took place in my country, and I know it’s left some here and elsewhere feeling uncertain about the future,’ he told the audience, before reiterating that a majority of citizens in the US believe climate change is a real threat

The White House is still in Obama’s hands released a report yesterday in compliance with the Climate Control Agreement.

and as such released a detailed 111 page report suggesting a strategy for the US to follow in the coming Mid-Century years.

… a detailed 111-page document outlining a “mid century strategy” to massively slash U.S. carbon emissions by the year 2050, reducing them 80 percent “or more” below their 2005 levels. Just to give some sense of scale, the long-term impact of the plan would be larger than the effect of instantly taking all cars off U.S. roads.

Even as the report was released, Secretary of State John Kerry, freshly back from a trip to Antarctica to survey the ravages of climate change firsthand, spoke at the Marrakesh meeting. There, he told nervous negotiators that “no one should doubt the overwhelming majority of the citizens of the United States who know climate change is happening, and who are determined to keep our commitments that were made in Paris.”Via washingtonpost.com

That said, can the world trust that Donald Trump will do anything other than scuttle the now ratified treaty involving so many different nations in the world?

“Ironically, Trump’s threats to withdraw from the Paris agreement has created new resolve among nations here to make the Paris process succeed, with or without U.S. help,” said Paul Bledsoe, a former Clinton White House climate official who was attending the talks, by email.

Several climate policy experts in Marrakech nonetheless argued Wednesday that an ambitious goal for 2050, like the one unveiled by the administration, is not necessarily lost simply because of Trump’s election and professed policies.

Still, in his speech Wednesday, Secretary of State Kerry did acknowledge the “uncertainty” the U.S. election had created for the delegates and the international community that had assembled.

“While I can’t stand here and speculate about what policies our president-elect will pursue, I will tell you this:  In the time that I have spent in public life, one of the things I have learned is that some issues look a little bit different when you’re actually in office compared to when you’re on the campaign trail,” said Kerry. read more at washingtonpost.com

washingtonpost.comU.S. President-elect Donald Trump has called global warming a “hoax” and pledged during the campaign to “cancel” the Paris deal aimed at fighting climate change.

Kerry, however, says he doesn’t think U.S. emissions reduction pledges “can or will be reversed” because of the market mechanisms in play.

 

A European Union official says he believes the U.S. will continue to engage in international climate talks, even under President-elect Donald Trump.

Asked about Trump’s campaign pledge to “cancel” U.S. involvement in the Paris Agreement on fighting climate change, Solymos was philosophical. He says “should something like that happen, then we shall address this issue, but we won’t be alone in it. I’m sure we will be able to deal with it.”

He said EU nations “are determined to implement the Paris Agreement fully.”

Over 300 U.S. businesses have signed a statement calling on President-elect Donald Trump to support the Paris Agreement on climate change — including General Mills, eBay, Intel, Unilever, and dozens of other Fortune 500 companies. See more…

Kerry seems to believe that there is already enough forward momentum and market action to continue progress toward US compliance with the Paris accord, even in the face of Trump’s apparent opposition.  There is also hope, that once in office, he may take his job seriously enough to not just pander for votes, but listen to voices of reason, such as the corporate multi nationals cited above.

We can certainly hope that to be the case. But it is obviously essential that we the people remain vigilant on the matter.

At the Midwest Moderate, this will be one of our ongoing topics of concern.